Thinking Pinoy

October 17, 2016

BBM vs Leni: Why LP needs to assassinate Duterte soon

Just when I felt that Bongbong Marcos’ political relevance has started to fade away after the May 2016 loss, I suddenly realized that that the late dictator’s son has a crucial role to play in today’s Political Game of Thrones.

DISCLAIMER: I am not saying that this actually is LP's plan. What I am saying is that this is the model of future events that best fits my current understanding of the situation. Nothing more, nothing less.

October 12, 2016

Ressa's Pride before Rappler's Fall

It all started with Rappler founder Maria Ressa’s October 3rd rant “Propaganda war: Weaponizing the internet”, where she accused Duterte supporters of cheating the Facebook’s algorithm to boost social media performance statistics. Ressa went on to publish three sequels, while the rest of her Rapplerettes published follow-up articles that follow the same theme.

October 10, 2016

Duterte's 1st 100 days, "Team PH Losing', and why Ramos nixed China Trip

In an earlier Facebook post, I used the “Love Triangle” analogy to explain the Philippines' foreign policy realignment. The original post, written in Filipino, goes something like this:

October 8, 2016

Inquirer, Rappler dying? The Rise of the Millennial Mosquito Press

He who fights with monsters should look to it that he himself does not become a monster. And if you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you. - Friedrich Nietszche.

October 1, 2016

A Furious Germany? Dissecting Duterte's Hitler Statement

Dear President Duterte, you need to apologize for the Hitler analogy, but...

September 28, 2016

#KanTalk with Sass and TP: Episode Guide and Download Links

#KanTalk is podcast-slash-almost-radio-show where International Relations scholar Sass Rogando Sasot and notoriously anonymous political observer Thinking Pinoy talk about the latest issues in the Philippine political arena.

The following is a list of all KanTalk episodes, including download links. This blog post will be regularly updated to include new KanTalk episodes.

September 26, 2016

Wikileaks, Duterte, Sipaco and DDS: Rappler’s Paterno Esmaquel strikes again

This new post completes the article “Duterte 'admitted complicity' in Davao killings – WikiLeaks”, written by Rappler reporter and part-time cyberbully Paterno Esmaquel II.

"Complete" the article? Yes, because Esmaquel all-too-conveniently forgot to include several important details, details that will make his article fall apart.

Esmaquel reported about a 08 May 2009 US Embassy diplomatic cable, which suggests Duterte’s complicity to the legendary vigilante group Davao Death Squad (DDS).

The embassy cable, written by then-US Ambassador to Manila Kristie Kenney, states:
"Commission on Human Rights regional director Alberto Sipaco (strictly protect) at a private meeting affirmed that Mayor Duterte knows about the killings and permits them. Recounting a conversation he once had with Duterte, who is his close friend and former fraternity brother, Sipaco said he pleaded with the Mayor to stop vigilante killings and support other methods to reduce crime, like rehabilitation programs for offenders."
ThinkingPinoy looked for the diplomatic cable that Esmaquel quoted. It was entitled “DAVAO OFFICIALS DENY VIGILANTE KILLINGS, BUT HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION BLAMES MAYOR”. The quoted paragraph above was taken from the fifth point in the cable.

The Top Comments

At first glance, the article’s premise already sounds problematic because it basically states Esmaquel allegedly heard it from Wikileaks who allegedly heard it from Kenney who allegedly heard it from Sipaco who allegedly heard it from Duterte.
Basically, Esmaquel gave us double hearsay evidence at best, quadruple hearsay at worst. In as far as the validity of evidence, this situation is no different from the “Sampalan sa BPI Julia Vargas” incident, where disgraced Senator Antonio Trillanes allegedly heard something from a Joseph de Mesa who heard something from an alleged AMLC insider.

These claims will not be admissible in court.

One of the Rappler article commenters already pointed this out. In reply to that comment, another person suggested that a proper investigating body should verify this information from Wikileaks.

Fair enough, so ThinkingPinoy asks, “Has this lead been investigated, or is this a totally new lead?”

Paterno’s all-too-convenient omission

The same leaked US diplomatic cable [Wikileaks] also stated:
“Sipaco… acknowledged that the CHR was taking its mission in Davao very seriously. On the margins of the public hearings, the CHR was working to locate witnesses, retrieve them in private unmarked cars, collect their testimony in undisclosed and protected locations, and seek their agreement to testify.”
Moreover, on the section indicating the Ambassador’s comments, Kenney wrote:
“With the police failing to make any progress on investigations, the CHR and civil society groups have become the primary advocates on the issue.”
Given these additional quotes, the reader will surely ask, “So what?”

The diplomatic cable shows it was prepared in May 2009, and it said it was being written during CHR’s ongoing investigation on DDS. Sipaco, the “witness”, is actually CHR Region XI Director.

Now, who was CHR Chairperson during those times?

Senator Leila de Lima [GMA].

De Lima’s Investigation

Sipaco’s allegations in the leaked diplomatic cables is actually part of set of claims that led to CHR’s 2009 investigation into Duterte’s alleged involved with the Davao Death Squad. Yes, Sipaco’s claims were already investigated by no less than Senator Leila de Lima herself, while the latter was still headed by the Commission on Human Rights.
De Lima actually spearheaded this investigation, so actively that she even broke our country’s laws in a desperate bid to prove her point.

On 16 July 2009, two months after the publication of the diplomatic cable, Panabo City inmate Jonathan Balo sued De Lima, House Speaker Prospero Nograles and six other people for allegedly taking him out of his detention cell without a court order [Star].

Balo didn’t want to leave his cell in fear of being summarily executed.

Nevertheless, Balo was illegally taken out of his cell and told he’ll be taken to a police station to identify a suspect. Upon reaching the police station, he was transferred to another vehicle and brought to the Laud quarry site in Ma-a, Davao City. There, he was forced to admit being a DDS member.

Balo was brought to the Laud quarry site at a time when a CHR-led team was searching the area for the supposed remains of victims of the DDS, a vigilante group.

The Investigation’s Aftermath

The 2009 CHR investigation headed by de Lima and of which Sipaco was part ended some time in 2012, as page 16 of CHR’s 2012 Annual Report states [CHR]:
The Commission recommended that the Office of the Ombudsman (OMB) investigate the possible administrative and criminal liability of Mayor Duterte… for the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) [to investigate]… for… [the] Department of Justice (DOJ) to duly prosecute the persons responsible…
This recommendation basically instructs three government agencies – Ombudsman, NBI, and DOJ – to take action.

Interestingly, by the time the CHR issued its recommendations, De Lima was already Justice Secretary, after having been appointed as such as soon as President Aquino took his 2010 oath of office [GMA].

Thus, de Lima actually had control over both the Department of Justice and all its agencies, including the National Bureau of Investigation. That is, de Lima’s DOJ appointment after her CHR chairmanship placed her in the best position to see the DDS issue resolved once and for all.

After six years at the DOJ’s helm, De Lima admitted on 20 August 2016 that the CHR failed to file cases against Duterte or his aides for lack of evidence when she said, “We don’t have enough evidence against them [MT].”

NBI and DOJ’s effort reached a dead end so there’s only one agency left to talk about: the Ombudsman.

Sipaco and the Ombudsman

The Ombudsman ordered the investigation of the DDS issue closed and terminated for lack of evidence, the same reason cited by De Lima herself.

On 15 January 2016, the Ombudsman’s Field Investigation Office issued a final disposition addressed to CHR Chair Gascon, part of which reads [OMB]:
“…no evidence was gathered to support ‘killings attributed or attributable to DDS’… It is respectfully recommended that the investigation of this case be CLOSED AND TERMINATED. ”
Yes, the Ombudsman cited insufficient evidence too.

What’s more interesting, however, is that Sipaco was quoted in the document.

Sipaco said, “It would be unbecoming of the Commission if through chismis and other gossips, we would be relying on it as fact already when there are no supporting justification.”

Yes, Sipaco said that himself. Yes, the same Sipaco who allegedly told Ambassador Kenney that Duterte admitted involvement in DDS. Yes, the same Sipaco cited in Wikileaks.

Sipaco said DDS was “chismis” (gossip), the same Sipaco who released the statement that was the central premise of Paterno Esmaquel’s piece.

Esmaquel’s Self-contradictory Article

With that, Esmaquel’s Rappler article falls apart, just like most of what he has written before.

Let’s go back to the article’s title:
“Duterte 'admitted complicity' in Davao killings – WikiLeaks”
Esmaquel basically tells us that Wikileaks suggest Duterte’s complicity with DDS. However, Wikileaks’ ultimate source was Sipaco, who dismissed DDS claims as gossip AFTER the publication of the leaked cable.

Now, some camps will argue that Sipaco could’ve been pressured by Duterte, but remember that Sipaco was under the protection of Liberal Party-led Malacañang from mid-2010 to mid-2016, and that the Liberal Party has repeatedly tried (and failed) to destroy Duterte during the campaign period [TP: Destroy Duterte].

A lowly city mayor can scare off someone fully backed by the Office of the President?

No, that claim shall not fly.

Matobato’s Credibility

Paterno tried to resuscitate his article when he wrote:
Still, self-confessed killer Edgar Matobato, who was presented by De Lima, recently testified before the Senate that Duterte instructed the DDS to execute people.

The problem, however, is that Matobato has been proven to be a pathological liar.

Matobato has given several conflicting statements, three of which are cited here:

FIRST: Matobato confessed to killing certain Sali Makdum, whom Matobato claimed was an international terrorist targeted by DDS [GMA]. As it turns out, Makdum is Matobato’s relative by marriage who wanted to buy land from Matobato [CNN]. Matobato was previously engaged in buying and selling of land.

SECOND: Matobato said DDS killed billionaire Richard King inside a McDonald’s restaurant. The problem, however, is that King’s own family knows he was killed in an office building [Star].

THIRD: Matobato previously claimed to have not executed a sworn affidavit in 2014. As it turns out, he actually did, and the claims in that 2014 affidavit thoroughly contradict Matobato’s claims in the Senate hearings [Star].

On 23 September 2016, Senate Justice Committee Chair Richard Gordon said, "You have to test his credibility, you have to test his memory, you have to test events. And he was changing stories [ABS]."

Matobato’s consistencies have also been pointed out by Senators Panfilo Lacson [Star], Manny Pacquiao [GMA], Alan Peter Cayetano [CNN], and Sonny Angara [Inq].

Meanwhile, the only ones who stand by Matobato’s credibility are Senators Leila de Lima [CNN] and Antonio Trillanes [AJ].

De Lima backing Matobato is not a surprise: it was her who sneaked Matobato into the senate hearings to begin with. Her “faith” in Matobato was expected.

Trillanes, on the other hand, is the same senator who believed in hearsay when he accused Duterte of corruption during the last weeks of the campaign period, an accusation that he sorely failed to substantiate [TP: BangkoSerye].

So the only two senators backing Matobato is one who harbors a clear conflict of interest, and one who has cried “Wolf!” too many times.

Rappler’s Paterno Esmaquel II

In the Rappler article, all Esmaquel did was add to the noise without adding value into the conversation. Esmaquel seriously lacks research skills, a basic skill that’s expected from him, especially since he has a master’s in Journalism and a bachelor’s in Communication, both from the Ateneo.

Mr. Esmaquel, Ateneo is a really good school. Thus, I will give the Ateneo the benefit of the doubt by saying that you just happen to be a statistical outlier. [ThinkingPinoy]

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September 19, 2016

Matobato kin speaks: Edgar a realtor, not a DC employee

A former Davao City employee claiming to be Matobato’s relative denies the latter’s links with the Davao City Government.

September 18, 2016

Chef Duterte offers the Liberal Party a multi-course meal

The Senate Hearing on Extrajudicial Killings is probably the cause of the recent rise in social media vitriol. I watched both camps insult each other while I munch on freshly-microwaved popcorn. I thought, “Hmm, if that’s what floats your boat, I’ll leave you be.”

I initially joined the mudslinging, until I realized that there are too many players in it already. Ain’t that fun anymore. Then I realized that I actually am interested in something else.

September 15, 2016

Duterte and 3000 Deaths: Did Hitler inspire the Liberal Party?

Yes, that's Adolf Hitler in the middle. You'll learn why.

September 11, 2016

After Sass Rogando Sasot, ThinkingPinoy gets blocked on Facebook

I made it! (Yehey!)

The Facebook block will be until 5:30 PM Wednesday 14 September 2016.

Reason for the block: I posted the Umagang Kay Ganda video clip where ABS-CBN news filmed a street fight from start to finish. On that same post, I asked ABS-CBN why their news crew apparently neglected to help the stab victim and allowed him to die on the pavement.

For the meantime, I am brewing something. See you guys on Wednesday! [ThinkingPinoy]

UPDATE: ABS-CBN, in fact, owned the copyright on that video clip. What's bothersome, however, is their seemingly unapologetic stance on thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of ethics complaints arising from that video clip. All they did was a to take that video down, but the fact remains that they have already aired it on free TV so it has been presumably seen by millions of Filipinos.



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September 9, 2016

Duterte's Philippines breaking away from the United States?

Duterte shifted geopolitical tides during the 2016 ASEAN Summit.

September 7, 2016

Warrantless Arrests? Presidential Communications cites "wrong" law

I support the Duterte Administration, but I criticize it when criticism is due, so here I go.

September 5, 2016

Why did Duterte supporters bash Rappler’s Pia Rañada?

Miss Pia Rañada-Robles, let me explain why you got bashed.

Potential Suspects: Who bombed Davao City?

The Roxas Night Market is an extremely popular hangout place for Davaoeños. Located at the heart of downtown Davao, locals flock the place to find cheap and delicious eats, oftentimes in the company of family and friends. Its setup is similar to the Banchetto in Mandaluyong’s Ortigas Center and the Midnight Mercato in Taguig’s Bonifacio Global City.

September 2nd, a Friday, was another fun-filled day for Roxas Night Market regulars. That is, until around 10:00 PM when a bomb exploded, killing at least 14 people and injuring at least 60 others [ABS]. The entire nation was in shock. How can something like this happen in no less than the President’s home town?

September 2, 2016

Something's Fishy: Bogs Obuyes and the Deposit Slips

I woke up this morning of 02 September 2016 and stumbled upon a Philippine Star exclusive that stated [Star]:
“A bank document obtained by The STAR from a DOJ source showed that a total of P24 million in cash was deposited in a bank account under the name of Bogs C. Obuyes in March and April 2014.”
Edna “Bogs” Obuyes was Senator Leila de Lima’s staff member while the latter was still the secretary of the Department of Justice (DOJ).

Then I felt like something's wrong.

#KungAkoSiRody: Sen. Leila De Lima liable for “Inciting to Sedition”?

Duterte’s controversial War on Drugs has riled international opinion, thanks to the efforts of former Justice Secretary and now Senator Leila de Lima.

August 31, 2016

How to destroy Rodrigo Duterte

You hate Duterte, I get it. I do not respect the fact that you hate Duterte, but I respect your right to hate him. Believing that he still doesn’t deserve to be the president despite a landslide win, you desperately want to bring him down. I get that too.

But over and over you fail, and I am starting to feel bad for you. That’s why this time, I am going to help you do exactly what you want to do.

August 29, 2016

Mainstream vs Indie: Who’s winning the PH social media wars?

A few days ago, I posted a Facebook status update that compares Mocha Uson Blog page stats with those of the four major media outfits in the country. I was able to get the stats using Facebook Page Insights, an analytics tool that’s freely accessible by anyone who owns a Facebook page.

To cut the long story short, I basically discovered that Mocha Uson is actually giving the four major networks (ABS-CBN, GMA, Inquirer, and Rappler) a run for their money in the social media game.

And so, I thought, why limit it to just five? Why not learn more about the social media wars by comparing all major networks with rising independent Facebook pages?

That is, who is dominating Facebook in the Philippines? And that’s what we will try to answer.

August 28, 2016

Death and the PH Drug Industry: from China to the Streets

This is the story of how Filipinos get “shabulized”, from start to finish.